Burundi inexorably marches toward trouble

It appears that Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni is the latest person to try, and fail, to broker some kind of accord between Burundian opposition groups and the ruling CNDD-FDD party in advance of Burundian President Pierre Nkurunziza’s attempt to win a constitutionally-questionable third term in office next week. That vote was supposed to happen today, but it was postponed over the weekend because of mounting tension and violence.

Let me just say, if you’re reduced to letting this guy try to calm the situation down, you’ve got some serious issues.

A couple of opposition leaders did say that the talks have generated some progress, but meanwhile real fighting is being waged in the northern part of Burundi and the threat of another coup attempt is still ever-present. It’s pretty clear at this point that if Nkurunziza stands for reelection, and wins (as he will), things are going to get much worse in Burundi pretty quickly. But so far it doesn’t seem like anything is going to stop that from happening; another coup could fail and/or make things even worse, and while they can keep delaying the election, pretty soon that starts to look less like a mechanism for coping with unrest and more like a way to leave Nkurunziza in office indefinitely.

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