SYRIA Folks, I rarely like to toot my own horn when it comes to successful predictions, but if you'll permit me I'm going to do it here. As I predicted, remember you heard it here first, the peacemaking juggernaut that is the Vladimir Putin-Recep Tayyip Erdoğan-Hassan Rouhani triumvirate has once more brought peace and prosperity … Continue reading Middle East update: September 7 2018
Today in Middle Eastern history: the Battle of Arsuf (1191)
As we’ve noted elsewhere, the Third Crusade is harder to assess than most of the other Crusades. The First Crusade was a pretty clear success. The Second Crusade was an unmitigated failure. The Fourth Crusade was completely absurd. And so forth. But the outcome of the Third Crusade is mixed. On the one hand, the … Continue reading Today in Middle Eastern history: the Battle of Arsuf (1191)
Europe/Americas update: September 6 2018
EUROPE Perhaps you've heard that yesterday the New York Times published an anonymous op-ed purporting to be from a White House insider asserting that Donald Trump may be non compos mentis and assuring everyone that the Good Republicans in the administration are protecting us from him even as they gleefully work to implement his mostly wretched political … Continue reading Europe/Americas update: September 6 2018
Asia/Oceania/Africa update: September 6 2018
ASIA AFGHANISTAN After Wednesday's double bombing in Kabul, probably carried out by ISIS, killed 21 people and wounded 89 more, later Wednesday and Thursday saw two likely Taliban attacks against Afghan security forces that left 18 of them dead. Militants killed 10 Afghan soldiers in an attack on a military outpost late Wednesday in Badghis … Continue reading Asia/Oceania/Africa update: September 6 2018
Middle East update: September 6 2018
SYRIA CNN's Barbara Starr (who gets a lot of scoops from the Pentagon because she's generally willing to report whatever the Pentagon tells her so take this with a grain of salt) reported Thursday evening that the Russian military has warned the US twice in the past week that it's preparing to attack "militants" in … Continue reading Middle East update: September 6 2018
World update: September 5 2018
This evening's updates may be a little less verbose than usual because I'll be out for a while watching some people do a live podcast or something in DC. I'm not quite sure what to make of it. ASIA AFGHANISTAN A double-tap suicide bombing on a wrestling club in Kabul on Wednesday killed at least … Continue reading World update: September 5 2018
Middle East update: September 5 2018
This evening's updates may be a little less verbose than usual because I'll be out for a while watching some people do a live podcast or something in DC. I'm not quite sure what to make of it. SYRIA The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported another day of widespread shelling across Idlib as the … Continue reading Middle East update: September 5 2018
Middle East update: September 4 2018
SYRIA While the United Nations Security Council plans to discuss Idlib on Wednesday, the Syrian/Russian offensive there may already have begun on Tuesday as "dozens" of airstrikes were reported across the province. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported 12 people killed in the strikes but the situation probably doesn't lend itself to accurate information at … Continue reading Middle East update: September 4 2018
World update: September 4 2018
ASIA AFGHANISTAN We'll start where things left off last night, with the announcement that Haqqani Network founder Jalaluddin Haqqani has passed. It's unclear when Haqqani died--all we know is that the Taliban announced it on Tuesday morning, citing an illness. The BBC reported him dead back in 2015, and for all we know that report … Continue reading World update: September 4 2018
World update: September 3 2018
ASIA AFGHANISTAN UPDATE: Naturally this broke after I'd called it a night: https://twitter.com/siteintelgroup/status/1036806063625043968 Jalaluddin Haqqani was almost 80 so this doesn't come as a huge shock. He lived long enough to go from being a Mujahideen daring of the Reagan administration (at a time when he was one of Osama bin Laden's patrons) to being considered … Continue reading World update: September 3 2018