The Ritz-Carlton Moscow It's possible I'll be able to formulate some thoughts about this as soon as I'm done laughing about it, but for now let me just say one thing. While I have absolutely no problem believing that the Russian government has dirt, possibly serious dirt, on our president-elect, the story that Buzzfeed ran … Continue reading Conflict update: January 10 2017
Author: DWD
Conflict update: January 9 2017
Apologies; normally I like to keep things more active around here, but I'm working on a big piece for LobeLog and it's taking a while to get through it. It's a long Q&A with a couple of respected foreign policy analysts about the Obama foreign policy legacy. And while you might think that sounds easy, … Continue reading Conflict update: January 9 2017
Conflict update, January 8 2017
Iraq Iraqi counter-terrorism forces in east Mosul say they've reached the eastern bank of the Tigris River. Some Iraqi politicians are claiming that as much as 88 percent of the eastern half of the city has been liberated, which is probably a substantial exaggeration, but it's impossible to dispute that the offensive has made significant … Continue reading Conflict update, January 8 2017
Death in the family
Like any mostly closed/insulated group of people--Fortune 500 CEOs, Catholic clergy, the mafia, Congress--there are a lot of ways in which Iran's religious (and increasingly military) ruling class resembles a family. There are a lot of things binding them together: everybody knows each other, they all share some common backgrounds and life experiences, they probably … Continue reading Death in the family
Conflict update: January 7 2017
Ivory Coast I'm going to level with you and say that I wasn't going to write one of these tonight, but for the fact that something pretty big seems to have flared up in a country that doesn't get much American attention under any circumstances and that has been more or less pretty quiet for … Continue reading Conflict update: January 7 2017
Conflict update: January 6 2017
Iraq Here's one terrifying side-effect of the Mosul campaign that, to be honest, I hadn't really thought much about: With the launch of the second phase of the Mosul operations Dec. 29, tens of bodies of killed Islamic State (IS) fighters were strewn across the streets in the neighborhoods of al-Salam, al-Intisar, al-Wihda, Palestine and … Continue reading Conflict update: January 6 2017
Welcome to 2017: changing borders
One of the more optimistic things to consider heading into the new year is that there's a genuine possibility that 2017 will finally see an accord reached in Cyprus. Back in July 1974, a coup by the Cypriot National Guard, supported by Greece, installed a government that, by most accounts, was there simply to steer … Continue reading Welcome to 2017: changing borders
Conflict update: January 5 2017
World War III Building on an earlier post, this seems problematic: Senior officials in the Russian government celebrated Donald Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton as a geopolitical win for Moscow, according to U.S. officials who said that American intelligence agencies intercepted communications in the aftermath of the election in which Russian officials congratulated themselves on … Continue reading Conflict update: January 5 2017
Off to a fantastic start
Donald Trump is a bit over 14 days away from becoming president and he's already managed to go to war with the US intelligence community. Now, if you're like me then you have no great love for the US intelligence community. At best it's a necessary evil, at worst it's just plain bad. And so … Continue reading Off to a fantastic start
Most Americans oppose scrapping the Iran nuclear deal
Here's something interesting. Earlier today, the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) released the findings of a poll showing that almost two-thirds of Americans oppose the idea of withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal (the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA) and attempting to renegotiate its terms. Overall, 63.7% of respondents prefer … Continue reading Most Americans oppose scrapping the Iran nuclear deal