It seems like only yesterday we were just speculating that maybe Russian planes buzzing Turkish airspace wasn't exactly good news for, you know, the human race. Welp, you'll never guess what happened today: Turkey shot down a Russian warplane near the Syrian border on Tuesday, saying it had repeatedly violated its air space, one of … Continue reading Well, as worst-case scenarios go…
Month: November 2015
Cutting off Crimea
On Sunday, saboteurs in Ukraine's southern Kherson region blew up one of the electrical towers that carries the main power lines from the mainland into Crimea, cutting those lines and leaving the Russian-claimed peninsula without electricity. Some power has been restored to Crimean cities using generators, but most of the peninsula is still in the … Continue reading Cutting off Crimea
Libya gets A ceasefire, but not THE ceasefire
Alongside the much more prominent and destructive national civil war that's been raging in Libya between its two competing governments (and between those governments and ISIS), there's also been a regional war going on in the southern part of the country (the Fezzan region) between two Berber peoples, the Tubu and Tuareg. They've had a … Continue reading Libya gets A ceasefire, but not THE ceasefire
Missing the signs
Vox's Jennifer Williams wrote an excellent and very brave piece for Lawfare yesterday called "We Were Wrong About ISIS." As the title suggests, she does something very rare in the field of People Who Write About Stuff for a Living: she admits to getting something, specifically ISIS's shift from state-building to foreign terrorism, wrong: Many … Continue reading Missing the signs
Another group claims responsibility for the Bamako hotel attack
A deadly attack on a hotel in Mali kills several people, many of them foreigners, and leaves the country unsettled. Very quickly, the al-Qaeda-affiliated terror group al-Mourabitoun claims responsibility for the attack in a statement delivered to the media. But in the aftermath of the attack, a second group comes forward to claim responsibility for … Continue reading Another group claims responsibility for the Bamako hotel attack
Some early thoughts on the Mali hotel attack
The Radisson Blu Hotel in Bamako, the capital of Mali, was struck by gunmen earlier today in an attack that so far has killed at least 27 people. The situation is still unfolding (though it may be nearing a resolution), with gunmen still believed to be inside the hotel, though a "special forces raid," possibly … Continue reading Some early thoughts on the Mali hotel attack
Today in Middle Eastern history: the Battle of al-Qadisiyah (636)
The two great Arab military victories of 636, the Battle of Yarmouk against the Byzantines and the Battle of al-Qadisiyah against the Sasanian Persians, were decisive in both in military and in geopolitical terms. Taken individually, they changed the course of both of the defeated empires—the Byzantines would never again hold significant territory south of Anatolia, and … Continue reading Today in Middle Eastern history: the Battle of al-Qadisiyah (636)
In Sisi’s Egypt, you’re lucky if you only get arrested
I've got a new piece at LobeLog looking at the arrest and detention of Egyptian journalist Hossam Bahgat last weekend. Bahgat evidently angered the Egyptian military in October with an investigative piece about a couple dozen officers who appear to have been railroaded, complete with coerced confessions, into guilty verdicts in a case about an … Continue reading In Sisi’s Egypt, you’re lucky if you only get arrested
Shunning refugees is what ISIS wants us to do, so why would we do it?
I was all set to write something about the snowballing right-wing mass freak out over the possibility of Syrian refugees coming to America and committing terror attacks here, but The Week's Ryan Cooper has already written it for me (and I'm not just saying that because he cites me in his piece): Furthermore, sheltering refugees … Continue reading Shunning refugees is what ISIS wants us to do, so why would we do it?
“The most deadly terrorist group in the world” isn’t ISIS — well, not exactly
The Institute for Economics and Peace released its Global Terrorism Index 2015 report today, and if you're looking for 2014's gold medal winner in terror, it's not ISIS. Not exactly. It's complicated: Also notable over the past year is the major intensification of the terrorist threat in Nigeria. The country witnessed the largest increase in … Continue reading “The most deadly terrorist group in the world” isn’t ISIS — well, not exactly